Trump Reshuffles the Geopolitical Deck with Syria Pullout
Protracted guerilla war, rebooted alliances, a resurgent ISIS, and humanitarian tragedy could all be in the cards.
Saudi Arabia Oil Attack a Geopolitical Game-changer in the Middle East
Riyadh’s evident vulnerability will lead to a search for new regional allies, and Israel is a surprising possible candidate.
Fallout from Saudi Oil Facility Attack
Appraising the geopolitical and market fallout from the mysterious attack on Saudi oil facilities earlier this month.
What’s Next After Tunisia’s “Populist Wave” Elections?
Voters may have demanded change, but whether they get it or not is still very much up in the air.
Global Forecast (08-26-2019)
Italy coalition negotiations come down to the wire, Assad’s Idlib offensive rolls out, and North Korea unleashes its “super-large multiple rocket launcher.”
Turkey & Russia’s Détente Tested in Idlib
Turkey-Russia cooperation is under strain as the Syrian regime intensifies its attempts to re-take the last major rebel stronghold in the civil war.
Tweets Alone Won’t Save Idlib from Tragedy
It will take direct and unified intervention, not tweets and condemnation, if the West is to head off a humanitarian catastrophe in Idlib.
Sudan: The MENA Region’s Next Proxy Conflict?
The political dispute in Sudan is fertile ground for wider geopolitical machinations between the Saudi-UAE and Turkey-Qatar blocs. Is Sudan doomed to become the next Syria?
How Iraq Is Helping Iran Survive US Sanctions
There seems little Washington can do to prevent Iraq becoming a key Iranian trading partner and energy customer.
Bloodshed Dodged or Simply Deferred? Transitional Deal Reached in Sudan
Following a long and violent protest movement, a transitional deal has finally been reached in Sudan. But can it bring democracy to the long-suffering country?