Global Forecast (10-04-2016)
FARC peace deal suffers a shock defeat at the ballot box, Kunduz under siege again, and the Iraqi government prepares to attack Mosul.
The Third Battle of Fallujah Has Begun
After years of preparation, the third battle of Fallujah has begun, and this time it’s the Iraqi armed forces doing the fighting.
Iraqi Kurdistan’s Rise as an Independent Energy Player
Iran’s energy engagement is serving to solidify Iraqi Kurdistan’s shift towards greater autonomy.
Analysis: AKP’s Surprise Election Win in Turkey
Recep Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) has retaken its parliamentary majority in a shock result that might mean big changes for Turkey’s foreign policy.
Is Turkey In Over Its Head?
Ankara’s decision to intervene directly in Syria further complicates an already complex battlefield dynamic, and it risks repercussions for Turkey’s internal and external security.
The Impact of a Turkish “Safe Zone” in Northern Syria
A “safe zone” in northern Syria could be a game-changer, but not necessarily a welcome one for the fight against Islamic State.
New Regional Alliances Emerge in the Fight against Islamic State
The dynamic in the Middle East is changing. Recent events have pushed Turkey towards a more activist position against Islamic State (ISIS) and Kurdish forces, which is shaping the response of other regional players, and leading to new alliances that will impact the future of Syria, Iraq, and the wider region.
Analysis: Kurdish Peace Process at Risk as Turkey Bombs the PKK
This past week has seen a sea change in Turkey’s foreign policy, one that threatens to upend the last bastions of stability in an otherwise chaotic region.
Turkey Takes Aim at the Kurds
With all eyes on Kobane, the Turkish government decided to launch on attack not on the Islamic State fighters besieging the town, but the Kurds desperate to defend it.
Briefing: The Battle for Kobane
The Syrian town of Kobane, also known as Ain-al-Arab, has been the site of fierce fighting between Syrian Kurds and Islamic State (ISIS) for over three weeks. Some have even come to see it as a crucible for President Obama’s military strategy, arguing that if ISIS can still make territorial gains despite US air strikes, the chances for total victory over Islamic State are pretty bleak.