Global Forecast (03-29-2018)
Frantic US-China trade talks get underway, Turkey eyes Iraq’s Sinjar region, and Russian diplomats are expelled throughout the Western world.
Pressured from All Sides, Will Iraqi Kurdistan Back Down?
The blowback against Iraqi Kurdistan’s independence referendum was swift as it was fierce, with every neighboring state piling pressure on Irbil to back down.
Historical Holocaust: Daesh’s Lasting Legacy
Daesh’s wanton destruction of cultural relics helped fray the national fabric of countries like Syria and Iraq. It’s now up to the international community to help mend them.
Kurdish Independence: The Next Phase of the Iraq Civil War?
With the oil-rich city of Kirkuk under its control, the government of Iraqi Kurdistan is moving toward formal independence from Iraq.
Global Forecast (05-12-17)
Good news from Mosul, bad news from Afghanistan, and President Trump angers Turkey by arming Syria’s Kurds.
Global Forecast (03-29-2017)
Brexit begins, the Iraqi army makes slow steady in Mosul, and China looks to turn up the heat on Taiwan.
Who Will Lead in a World on Fire?
Faced with spreading conflict and instability throughout the world, who will lead?
If Mosul Falls, Lookout West
Security services should prepare for the possibility that the fall of Mosul will trigger terrorist attacks in Western countries.
The Battle of Mosul Has Begun
Iraqi and Kurdish forces have launched an assault on the last major urban holding of Islamic State in Iraq.
Global Forecast (10-04-2016)
FARC peace deal suffers a shock defeat at the ballot box, Kunduz under siege again, and the Iraqi government prepares to attack Mosul.