Risk of Iran Nuclear Outbreak Grows as Conventional Deterrence Wanes
Two pillars of Iran’s conventional deterrence have been severely eroded in short order. Will the regime turn to nuclear weapons in an attempt to restore the regional balance of power?
Iran’s Masoud Pezeshkian: The West’s Last Chance for Reconciliation
With the rise of Masoud Pezeshkian, Washington gets one more chance at a nuclear deal and reconciliation. Failure all but ensures a nuclear Iran and a slew of geopolitical setbacks for the West.
China in the Middle East: Can Iran Keep Its Promises?
Trust, domestic political opposition, regional power dynamics, and geopolitical volatility all pose significant challenges to Saudi-Iran reconciliation.
Women’s Rights in Focus as Protests Sweep across Iran
Will the wave of protests centered on the death of Masha Amini have a different outcome than previous nation-wide outbreaks of unrest?
Food Protests Erupt in Iran
Drought, global markets, and fiscal pressures are giving rise to a cost-of-living crisis in Iran, and it’s a risk that’s becoming increasingly common throughout the developing world as the Ukraine war drags on.
Global Forecast (6-21-2021)
Ethiopia to vote in a landmark election, commodity prices come back down to Earth, and Iran’s election produces few surprises.
Middle East Gamechanger? Gauging the China-Iran Deal
Though short on details, the recent China-Iran deal could one day be looked back on as a seminal moment in the geopolitics of the Middle East.
Welcome to Islamic Paradise, Republic of Shame
Now over 42 years on, the disaster of the so-called Islamic revolution is still playing out for the long-suffering people of Iran.
What a Joe Biden Win Means for the Abraham Accords
Will Joe Biden pick up where President Trump left off in the Middle East?
UN Arms Embargo on Iran Lifted
Tehran is now free to engage in global arms markets. But is anyone buying?