Assad Key to Any Political Solution in Syria
Had Bashar al-Assad gone into exile, the ISIS Caliphate would be based in Damascus rather than the middle of nowhere.
Italy’s Eni & Other Oil Producers Try to Ride Out Libya Chaos
Production disruptions, the spread of Islamic State, and two governments hanging on by a fiscal thread – Libya is descending into anarchy. But that hasn't stopped Italy’s Eni and other producers from keeping the oil flowing.
Western Intervention in Libya a Recipe for Disaster
Libya is in chaos; it has been since the West and Qatar-aided civil war that brought an end to Colonel Qadhafi’s regime. But another military intervention is definitely not what's needed.
A United Jordan Still at Risk from Islamic State
The brutal killing of Lieutenant Moath Youssef al-Kasasbeh has united much of Jordan, but the Kingdom faces great risks in an extended campaign against Islamic State.
Blowback: Charlie Hebdo and the Contradictions of Western Policy
John Rosenthal argues that recent Western foreign policy missteps in Libya and Syria have fueled the rise of radical Islam.
Arab Spring a Windfall for Transnational Crime
Three years after the onset of the Arab Spring, headlines are still focused on the security threat of revolutionary Islamist militant groups. But we may be overlooking the rise of new social forces which are equally threatening to global security: Middle Eastern transnational criminal networks.
Middle East Patterns Endure as the US Steps Back
Despite the shock of recent events, it’s not the Middle East that has changed. It’s US foreign policy.
Libya Back on the Road to Dictatorship
The most recent outbreak of fighting may just sound the death knell for the post-Qadhafi order in Libya. Now the question becomes: who will be the one to defeat the militias and seize power by force?
A Coming Power Shift in Algerian Politics?
With their long-time patron President Bouteflika in declining health, how much longer will the elites controlling Algerian politics be able to keep a lid on popular dissent?
Libya in Chaos: Between Tribalism and Federalism
The Geopoliticalmonitor’s Alessandro Bruno discusses the entropic forces that are making it impossible for state authorities to establish order in Libya.