Breaking Down a Hypothetical US-Ukraine Critical Minerals Agreement
The US-Ukraine critical minerals agreement is being presented as a power move to recoup Washington’s war costs. But the economic outlook of the pact remains dubious.
Security Guarantees Will Make or Break Ukraine Peace Talks
Examining the central importance of security guarantees in Ukraine peace talks, why Kyiv continues to push for NATO membership, and what an eventual compromise might look like.
Germany’s Power Shift: What CDU/CSU Victory Means
The incoming CDU-led government inherits a daunting to-do list: revive economic growth, achieve greater European strategic autonomy, and unite an increasingly fractured Germany society.
Poland: Washington’s Model Ally in Europe
Amid the recent history of grand if empty pronouncements of impending European strategic autonomy, Poland actually delivers. Berlin, Paris, and London: take note.
The Zangezur Corridor: A Key Trade Link in the South Caucasus
The Zangezur Corridor is a transformative initiative that hopes to reshape trade and economic landscapes across Eurasia, but it’s not without it’s challenges.
The Riyadh Talks Weren’t About Peace: They Were About Replacing Zelensky
If Zelensky is unwilling to acquiesce to peace on US-Russian terms, the next natural step is to try and find a leader who will.
Redefining European Defense: EU Security Policy in the Trump Era
President Trump’s geopolitical pivot from Europe will boost previous efforts by Brussels to enact a more autonomous European defense posture. Yet structural challenges loom large over the process.
Can Trump Halt the BRICS De-Dollarization Effort?
The paradox of Trump’s aggressive posture toward de-dollarization is that by favoring tariffs and sanctions, Trump is accelerating the very trends he seeks to combat.
Could Türkiye Lead a Ukraine Peacekeeping Force?
A hypothetical peacekeeping contingent in post-war Ukraine would be fraught with logistical, financial, and diplomatic difficulties. But Türkiye might be best placed to form its core.
Trump Tariffs Stir Fears of US-EU Trade War
The economic view from Europe as a new round of Trump tariffs looms. What are the stakes for different sectors and states in a new US-EU trade war?