Global Forecast (7-5-2021)
Famine descends on Ethiopia’s Tigray region, OPEC+ attempts to thresh out a production hike, and tensions mount along India and China’s shared Himalayan border.
Backgrounder: China’s Military Modernization Comes of Age
The latest defense department report on China’s military modernization suggests that Beijing is rapidly closing the capability gap with Western peers, particularly with regard to air, sea, and missile forces.
Population Decline: The New Normal in China’s Demographics?
China’s demographic decline is a tale long foretold, but it was never meant to happen quite so soon.
Global Forecast (10-2-2021)
Duterte bows out of politics, Europe’s energy crisis worsens, and the Biden administration prepares to unveil its China policy.
US Regulators Turn the Screw on Chinese IPOs
Moves from the US Securities and Exchange Commission are compounding regulatory pressures on the other side of the Pacific, calling the future of US-based IPOs into question.
Putin Shifts Focus to the Long-Neglected Home Front
After years of strict austerity, the Russian president is loosening the fiscal purse strings.
Global Forecast (9-20-2021)
France withdraws ambassadors over AUKUS, Canada heads to the polls, and the Federal Reserve prepares to show its hand on bond tapering.
US Shale Resilience Piles Pressure on OPEC+
Not only has US shale survived early attempts by OPEC+ to squeeze out its operations, but it’s now coming for longstanding OPEC+ markets.
Small States, Big Impact: CARICOM’s High-level Diplomatic Successes
The group’s latest diplomatic victories are highlighting a critical role for small states’ leadership in the international community.
Jokowi Gambles on Defense as Indonesia Elections Come Down to the Wire
With less than two weeks to go before much-anticipated presidential elections in Indonesia, the race between Joko “Jokowi” Widodo and Prabowo Subianto is closer than anyone would have imagined.