Venezuela Loses Out in Rebirth of US-Cuba Relations
The US-Cuba rapprochement represents both a risk and an opportunity for an increasingly beleaguered Maduro government in Venezuela.
An SCO Reality Check
As delegations from Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) member states prepare to descend on the Russian city of Yekaterinburg next month, we can expect a spike in media pieces that paint the organization as a nascent ‘anti-NATO’. These media representations overlook a glaring fact: it isn’t in the SCO’s aims or means to become a new Warsaw Pact.
Global Forecast (04-17-2018)
Ambivalence in the United States on new Russia sanctions, a Jupiter rises to defend democracy in Europe, and the IMF predicts solid global growth for 2018.
Costs of War: Game Over?
Some US officials are backing away from the idea that the July 2011 deadline set by President Obama will mark a major drawdown of US forces from Afghanistan. But leading Democrats, aware of growing opposition to the war among supporters, are singing a different tune.
Monetary Consequences of the Ukraine War
Examining the long-term geoeconomic consequences of the Ukraine war, notably the ongoing viability of the US dollar as global currency and the possibility of a future return to the gold standard.
Engaging Non-State Armed Groups
The US State Department wants to open channels to non-state actors, but its policy at the practical level is still muddled.
What to Expect from China’s Fifth Plenum
How will the Fifth Plenum respond to the growing list of economic and military challenges facing China?
Brexit Drama Comes Down to the Wire
With the March 29 deadline looming, Prime Minister May is desperate for a short-term extension to take her twice-defeated deal back to Parliament.
Duterte’s Double Play with China and the US
Duterte’s pivot toward China and away from the United States is a gambit that won’t necessarily pay off in terms of increased concessions.
Corruption and Sectarianism Sinking PM Hopefuls in Iraq
The old guard has yet to moot a palatable candidate for the young Iraqis demanding change.