Bolsonaro Takes Aim at Brazil’s Pension System
The pension fight will signal whether the new Brazilian president can translate electoral victory into significant reforms.
Snap Election Looms in Spain
Move over economics and austerity. The next election is going to revolve around questions of Spanish identity.
US Immigration Reform and Upcoming Midterm Elections
Meaningful reform of immigration law remains elusive in the United States, a fact that both parties are trying to use to their advantage in upcoming midterm elections.
Default Looms as Venezuela Hopes for a Recovery in Oil Prices
Even though the Maduro government has stopped posting official statistics, it’s no secret that the economic situation in the Bolivarian Republic is going from bad to worse.
Coalition Negotiations Down to the Wire in Spain
What once looked like a clear path to a governing coalition in Madrid doesn’t look so easy anymore.
Global Forecast (05-18-2016)
Brazil’s Rousseff on trial for impeachment, Tajikistan to get a ‘president-for-life,’ and Japan prepares for a key G7 summit next week.
Oil’s Armageddon: Implications for African Exporters
Africa’s largest oil exporters are not in a position to weather the massive price disruptions wrought by COVID-19 and Saudi-Russian acrimony.
Decision Time Looms for US Troops in Iraq
There are push and pull factors pointing to a US troop pullout. But a swift destabilization of Iraq may remove the luxury of choice.
Global Forecast (11-29-2016)
Frantic negotiations in the lead-up to OPEC’s next meeting, a key vote for the European Union in Italy, and a major development in the Syrian civil war.
Malaysia Election: Upstart and Establishment Autocrats Square Off
The upcoming Malaysian election is a political saga for the ages.