Global Forecast (4-18-2021)
Global COVID-19 vaccine rollout diverges, US economic data surprise underpins emerging market vulnerabilities, and signs that Russia-US détente could be in the works.
Global Forecast (4-26-2021)
Chad looks like a coup, President Zelensky attempts to escape the confines of Minsk II, and Mexico reels from a historic drought.
Ethiopia: COVID-19 & Constitutional Crisis
Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed must stem the spread of both COVID-19 and ethnic strife if his new Prosperity Party is to prevail in this year’s elections.
Venezuela in Focus: Security
Despite some improvement in crime statistics over the past year, Venezuela remains one of the most dangerous countries in the world.
Do We Live in Mearsheimer’s World?
Is Russia’s Ukraine policy a proactive response to domestic concerns, or a reactive answer to outside incursions into its near abroad?
Whither Central Europe’s ‘Axis of the Willing’ on Migration?
Will Sebastian Kurz’ “axis of the willing against illegal migration” sound the death knell for the Merkel era in Germany?
Geopolitical Own Goal: How Putin Came to NATO’s Aid
With his invasion of Ukraine, Putin transformed a wandering NATO in search of post-Cold War legitimacy into a vital global organization.
Conflict Minerals and Global Supply Chains: The Tin Market
As global demand for tin increases, so too does pressure on tin producers to comply with ethical supply legislation, particularly in hotspots like the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Euro Financial Crisis: No End In Sight
Market jitters over Italian insolvency are more than just another soft European economy being added to the ever-growing list of debt anchors pulling the Euro Zone into the abyss.
Adani Scandal Threatens Australia’s Carmichael Coal Mine
Adani’s renewed scandal and financing challenges are calling the future of one of the world’s largest new coal mines into question.