Is Turkey Too Big to Fail or Too Small to Bail?
Turkey has routinely flouted NATO and U.S. interests while Washington looks the other way out of concern of alienating its ‘too big to fail’ ally. It’s time to strip Ankara of this exceptional status.
China’s Irregular Maritime Forces: Vanguard of the South China Sea
China’s irregular maritime forces were essential in redrawing the map of the South China Sea over the past two decades, and they remain a fixture in any new ground-level clash with rival claimants.
Three International Water Conflicts to Watch
Trans-border waterways have always been sources of geopolitical tension, and climate change is only making cooperation more difficult. This article examines three international water conflicts to keep an eye on in the coming years.
Risk of Iran Nuclear Outbreak Grows as Conventional Deterrence Wanes
Two pillars of Iran’s conventional deterrence have been severely eroded in short order. Will the regime turn to nuclear weapons in an attempt to restore the regional balance of power?
Stimulus Bets Send China Stock Markets into Frenzy
China stock markets are experiencing wild swings as traders place bets on new stimulus announcements from Beijing. Yet little has changed regarding the fundamentals of the Chinese economy.
Israel’s Regional Position Intact Despite Iran Strikes
Iran's attack on Tel Aviv was a spectacular show of force, but it is unlikely to fundamentally alter Israel's tactical and strategic superiority in the long term.
Cambodia Emerges as Transnational Crime Hub
Trans-national criminal networks are becoming entrenched in Cambodia, posing new trafficking, fraud, and governance threats throughout the region and even globally.
Ukraine’s Future in the Balance as US Election Looms
Elections in the United States will be crucial in determining the diplomatic endgame for the Ukraine war, along with where post-war Ukraine falls in the emerging global order.
Growing Internationalization of the Sudan Civil War
The Sudan civil war is increasingly drawing in extra-regional powers and spilling its borders, imperiling the stability of vulnerable states in the region.
UAE: A New Player in African Geopolitics
The UAE has become increasingly active in African geopolitics as it looks to ensure domestic food security and secure critical supply chains.