Unraveling the Zero-Sum in West-Russia Relations: The Case of Ukraine
At the heart of the Russo-Ukrainian war lies a zero-sum logic that is rooted in the hierarchical relations between Russia and the West post-Cold War.
Serbia Pivots Toward Beijing, Away from Brussels
Belgrade looks to reap the economic benefits of a closer alignment with Beijing, but the diplomatic dynamic may not be ‘win-win’ so far as Serbia’s future EU ascension is concerned.
The Proxies and Militias of Middle East Geopolitics
Exploring the constellation of proxies and armed groups that underpin political power and levers of external influence across the Middle East.
Yen Slide Hints at a Possible Paradigm Shift
Is the yen’s recent weakness business-as-usual, or are there deeper, more structural problems at work here?
Erdoğan’s Iraq Visit: Toward a New Regional Paradigm?
Erdoğan’s recent visit to Iraq hopes to herald in a new era of development under the banner of the Development Road Project. However, the critical matter of Baghdad’s posture toward the PKK remains unresolved.
Sudan Civil War: Violence Fears as RSF Completes Takeover of Darfur
The final act in the Rapid Support Forces’ takeover of Darfur could be the bloodiest.
Will a Prabowo Presidency Alter the Course of China-Indonesia Relations?
Indonesia’s new president will likely advance his predecessors warming relations with China, at least so far as nationalism at home and developments in the Natuna Sea allow for it.
Kyrgyzstan: The Weak Link of the Southern Corridor
The Southern Transport Corridor can help alleviate some of Kyrgyzstan’s export woes by tapping into global markets; however, given the lack of alternative backers, it would surely come at the cost of deepening reliance on Beijing.
The Politics of Implausible Deniability
The politics of implausible deniability allow institutions to reap the benefits of some action without being held accountable for it; however, this does come at a cost.
CBO Hints at Mounting US Sovereign Debt Risk
The CBO’s latest projections underscore mounting risk of fiscal crisis in the United States – a contingency that could fundamentally reshape the post-Cold War global order.