Backgrounder: US Military Budget 2025
The US military budget for 2025 maintains the traditional defense posture of out-spending any near-peer competitor; however, its only getting harder to keep pace.
West Asleep at the Wheel at the Dawn of ‘Cold War 2’
While China and Russia make moves to shore up their positions in the geopolitical contest to come, the United States and Brussels opt for a comforting state of denial.
Thaksin & Puea Thai: The Law of Diminishing Returns
Fresh off a controversial electoral deal in 2023, the ruling Puea Thai party is shedding support rapidly, leaving Move Forward well placed to come to power whenever the next Thai election is held.
Playing Catch-up? West-China Competition in the Global South
A Western reproduction of Belt and Road is not desirable, let alone feasible. Rather, if the West is to make up ground in the Global South, it will start with win-win cooperation that takes the interests of non-aligned partners into account.
Backgrounder: Iran Power Projection in Wartime
Assessing Iran’s ability to wage war across the domains of politics, military, economy, and diplomacy.
Geopolitics of the Central Caucasus
The Central Caucasus is back on the geopolitical map, evident in the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR) and with it, China’s growing political influence.
Middle East Meth Crisis: A Destabilizing Trend
The discovery of ephedra plants in Afghanistan and a booming end-user market in the Gulf States is fueling a growing drug crisis across the Middle East.
The Front-Runners: Five Western Leaders in Waiting
Leadership is expected to turn over in key Western states, bringing new policies that will reverberate throughout the global order. This backgrounder examines five key figures poised to form governments in the near future.
KAZA Visa: A Step Forward in Africa Integration?
The southern Africa states of Angola, Botswana, Namibia, Zambia, and Zimbabwe have agreed to shared visa scheme, but future steps at regional integration won’t come easy.
Syria’s Captagon Crisis: A Narco-state in the Middle East?
Syria has ramped up captagon production in the post-civil war period, with destabilizing consequences for the region and, gradually, the regime itself.