Analysis: The Minsk II Ceasefire Frays in Ukraine

Ukraine Flag, cc Flickr Nicolas Raymond, modified

Background

Despite the daily trickle of violations that have taken place since the fall of Debaltseve, the Minsk II ceasefire has been a success in terms of reducing the pace of soldier deaths and civilian casualties. This period of relative peace seems to be coming to an end though. Heavy fighting broke out in Marinka on Wednesday, located just on the western outskirts of Donetsk, resulting in at least 15 deaths.

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