Analysis: Nigeria Braces for Change, Peaceful or Otherwise

Buhari, CC Flickr Chatham House

Summary

Nigerians have already had to wait a long time to learn who their next president will be – first the polls were delayed for six-weeks, then the results got bogged down in a series of counting delays – and recent signs suggest there could be longer to wait yet.

Nigeria’s Independent National Election Commission (INEC) is working to collate results from across the country, and an official announcement of the winner is expected sometime on Tuesday. Early results indicate that former military dictator and All Progressives Congress (APC) leader Muhammadu Buhari is leading in votes, and several news outlets have declared him to be the winner. However, until INEC makes its official announcement these projections are meaningless.

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